October 30th, 2024

Caribbean Sea Monitors New Tropical Threat as Hurricane Season Nears End

Good morning, TNW subscribers! As we head into the last month of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, our team is closely monitoring a potential tropical system brewing in the southern Caribbean Sea. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), this area has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next seven days. If the system strengthens, it will receive the name "Patty" as the next designated name in the Atlantic Basin.

Latest Update on the Caribbean System

Our TNW Weather and Hurricane Operations Division reports that a low-pressure area is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean by midweek. Influenced by the Central American Gyre—a weather pattern associated with recent hurricanes Helene, Milton, and Tropical Storm Nadine—conditions in the region could become conducive for tropical development.

Could this System Impact the U.S.?

Most late-season Caribbean storms pose a low risk to the U.S., but our specialists are carefully monitoring this system. At this time, upper-level winds over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida are projected to be unfavorable for U.S. landfall. However, should the system develop, it could move toward the Dominican Republic, Haiti, or Puerto Rico, though it may remain within the Caribbean Sea without significant impact to land.